Showing posts with label total performance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label total performance. Show all posts

Friday, June 17, 2011

Avoid penny stocks and those with recent splits

Currently trailing DJIA by ~150%. The top contributors to the negative performance vs DJIA are ORS with 100% and WEST with 45%. ORS is as wild a story as it gets (up as much as 200% earlier) and makes for good reading material. WEST on the other hand is due to splits - see separate posting on splits. WEST split 1:4 on 4/14/11 causing the unadjusted price in the weeks prior to the prediction to go from ~0.5 to ~2.0 which the system sees as unsupported by fundamentals and expecting a sharp reversal hence the negative prediction.

Friday, May 20, 2011

Performance running total

Added a running total of the % return over market (see TotDiff% column). Since the history is in reverse chronological order the top entry shows the current total (as of yesterday's closing). So paranumeral is trailing the DJIA by 3%. The largest contributor (after trimming history to just the latest model's entries - deployed 5/12/11) is CXW with -10.6%. Turns out Pershing Square Capital dumped 3.5M shares on the 16th. Hopefully CXW will correct over time.